The Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) has issued a warning regarding the risk of local cloudbursts across Denmark, with particular concern for the Jutland region. A recent wave of heavy rainfall has already caused problems in several areas of the country, and another round of intense rain is forecasted.

The DMI projection indicates that areas in southern and western Jutland will be especially hard-hit. Martin Lindberg, a duty officer at DMI, reports that the region from the Wadden Sea near Esbjerg up towards Herning and Holstebro appears to be at the highest risk. The likelihood that these areas will receive more than 15 millimeters of rain is estimated to be between 50 and 60 percent. Rain and thunderstorms are expected to begin affecting these regions around 2 PM local time.

The rain is expected to move further towards northern Jutland, with Aalborg and Vendsyssel also listed as vulnerable areas. Other regions may also experience severe weather conditions. The area around the Great Belt (Storebælt), including the islands of Funen (Fyn) and Lolland, can also expect heavy showers and thunderstorms starting at around the same time.

In Zealand (Sjælland) and the capital region, the forecast suggests lighter rainfall. Here, the risk of cloudbursts is assessed to be about 10 percent during the evening hours. However, forecasts are constantly changing, and the severe weather has shown signs of weakening since the last update.

According to Martin Lindberg, making precise predictions for this type of weather is challenging. This is because it is not a typical weather phenomenon characterized by the meeting of warm and cold fronts, but rather a cold front in which air condensation leads to very heavy rainfall over small areas.

Cloudbursts are defined as rainfall of at least 15 millimeters within 30 minutes. This makes it a challenge for forecasting models to accurately predict the intensity of the rain and the precise locations that will be affected.